Celtic vs Aberdeen — Scottish Premiership result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Celtic
77%
pick · result
Draw
15%
Aberdeen
7%
Final score
3–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Celtic win 77.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Celtic win. Expected goals 2.38–0.67 against 3–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (14.0%), 1–0 (11.6%), 3–0 (10.6%). It finished 3–0 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Celtic
| 3 Aug | H | vs Dundee | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Kilmarnock | 5–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Falkirk | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Sept | H | vs Aberdeen | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs St Mirren | 2–1 | W |
Aberdeen
| 1 Aug | H | vs Hearts | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Dundee | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Celtic | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Kilmarnock | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Celtic (Home · 4 matches) | Aberdeen (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 2.75 |
Home stats use Celtic's home record; away stats use Aberdeen's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.