๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scottish PremiershipยทWednesday, 2 September 2026ยท18:45
Metis Forecast
model onlyCeltic
80%
Draw
17%
Aberdeen
3%
Celtic 2.38 xGexpected goals0.66 xG Aberdeen
Celtic win 80% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 45% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2โ0 (13.5%).
Celtic score at least twice in 69%; Aberdeen in 14%.
2โ0 13.5%1โ0 10.8%3โ0 10.7%2โ1 8.9%1โ1 8.1%3โ1 7.1%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 13.5 | 8.9 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 10.7 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 4.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Celtic goals ยท columns = Aberdeen goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score45%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Celtic clean sheet52%
Aberdeen clean sheet9%
Celtic score 2+69%
Aberdeen score 2+14%
Celtic score 3+43%
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Recent form
Celtic
| 3 Aug | H | vs St Mirren | 1โ0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | vs Aberdeen | 2โ0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Livingston | 3โ0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Rangers | 0โ0 | D |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Kilmarnock | 2โ1 | W |
Aberdeen
| 4 Aug | A | vs Hearts | 0โ2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Celtic | 0โ2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Falkirk | 0โ1 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Livingston | 0โ0 | D |
| 23 Sept | A | vs Dundee Utd | 0โ2 | L |
Head to head
| 4 Mar 26 | AberdeenvsCeltic | 1 โ 2 |
| 21 Dec 25 | CelticvsAberdeen | 3 โ 1 |
| 10 Aug 25 | AberdeenvsCeltic | 0 โ 2 |
Celtic: 3W 0D 0L in last 3
Model context
| Stat | Celtic (Home) | Aberdeen (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 52.6% | 26.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 73.7% | 31.6% |
| Clean sheet | 47.4% | 21.1% |
| Avg goals | 3.05 | 2.32 |
Home stats use Celtic's home record; away stats use Aberdeen's away record this season.