Aberdeen vs Rangers — Scottish Premiership result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Aberdeen
24%
Draw
25%
Rangers
51%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rangers win 51.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rangers win. Expected goals 1.12–1.73 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (9.2%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Aberdeen
| 1 Aug | H | vs Hearts | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Dundee | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Celtic | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Kilmarnock | 0–0 | D |
Rangers
| 31 Jul | A | vs Dundee Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Hibernian | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Aberdeen | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Falkirk | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Motherwell | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Aberdeen (Home · 3 matches) | Rangers (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 25.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.33 | 1.75 |
Home stats use Aberdeen's home record; away stats use Rangers's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.