๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scottish PremiershipยทSunday, 30 August 2026ยท11:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 4.06 | 4.06 |
| Draw | 3.94 | 3.94 |
| Rangers | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketAberdeen
23%
Draw
24%
Rangers
53%
Aberdeen 1.13 xGexpected goals1.82 xG Rangers
Rangers win 53% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (11.4%).
Aberdeen score at least twice in 31%; Rangers in 54%.
1โ1 11.4%1โ2 9.5%0โ2 8.7%0โ1 8.5%2โ1 6.4%0โ0 6.0%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 11.4 | 9.5 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Aberdeen goals ยท columns = Rangers goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score57%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Over 4.5 goals18%
Aberdeen clean sheet16%
Rangers clean sheet32%
Aberdeen score 2+31%
Rangers score 2+54%
Aberdeen score 3+11%
Model vs market
| Source | Aberdeen | Draw | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 17% | 24% | 59% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Metis Forecast | 23% | 24% | 53% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Aberdeen
| 4 Aug | A | vs Hearts | 0โ2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Celtic | 0โ2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Falkirk | 0โ1 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Livingston | 0โ0 | D |
| 23 Sept | A | vs Dundee Utd | 0โ2 | L |
Rangers
| 2 Aug | A | vs Motherwell | 1โ1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Dundee | 1โ1 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | vs St Mirren | 1โ1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Celtic | 0โ0 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Hearts | 0โ2 | L |
Head to head
| 21 Mar 26 | RangersvsAberdeen | 4 โ 1 |
| 11 Jan 26 | AberdeenvsRangers | 0 โ 2 |
| 6 Jan 26 | RangersvsAberdeen | 2 โ 0 |
Aberdeen: 0W 0D 3L in last 3
Model context
| Stat | Aberdeen (Home) | Rangers (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 47.4% | 68.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 36.8% | 57.9% |
| Clean sheet | 31.6% | 31.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.68 | 3.11 |
Home stats use Aberdeen's home record; away stats use Rangers's away record this season.