Al-Taawoun vs Al-Ettifaq — Saudi Pro League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Al-Taawoun
vs
13:30
Al-Ettifaq
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al-Taawoun
44%
Draw
25%
Al-Ettifaq
31%
Expected goals
1.54–1.36
Al-Taawoun · Al-Ettifaq
Al-Taawoun win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.6%), 2–1 (10.5%), 1–0 (8.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Al-Taawoun win is 2–1 (10.5%).
Al-Taawoun score at least twice in 46%; Al-Ettifaq in 39%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Ettifaq goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 11.6 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 10.5 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Taawoun goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 33% | 27% | 41% |
| Market reference | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Metis Forecast | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.