Al-Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun — Saudi Pro League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Saudi Pro League·Saturday, 24 October 2026·18:00
Al-Riyadh
vs
18:00
Al-Taawoun
Al-RiyadhExpected goalsAl-Taawoun
1.69 xG1.25 xG
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Al-Riyadh
47%
Draw
26%
Al-Taawoun
27%
Expected goals
1.69–1.25
Al-Riyadh · Al-Taawoun
Al-Riyadh win 47% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.1%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (8.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Al-Riyadh win is 2–1 (9.4%).
Al-Riyadh score at least twice in 50%; Al-Taawoun in 36%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Taawoun goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 12.1 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Riyadh goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Both teams score59%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Over 4.5 goals17%
Team scoring & clean sheets
Al-Riyadh clean sheet29%
Al-Taawoun clean sheet19%
Al-Riyadh score 2+50%
Al-Taawoun score 2+36%
Al-Riyadh score 3+24%
Al-Taawoun score 3+13%
Most likely scores
1–112.1%
2–19.4%
1–08.1%
2–07.5%
1–27.0%
0–06.2%
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.