Al-Qadisiyah vs Al-Fayha — Saudi Pro League forecast, Thursday, 5 November 2026
Al-Qadisiyah
vs
17:30
Al-Fayha
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al-Qadisiyah
87%
Draw
8%
Al-Fayha
5%
Expected goals
2.35–0.77
Al-Qadisiyah · Al-Fayha
Al-Qadisiyah win 87% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (16.8%), 1–0 (15.1%), 2–0 (14.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 46% of outcomes; the other 54% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Al-Qadisiyah score at least twice in 74%; Al-Fayha in 17%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Fayha goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 15.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 14.4 | 16.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.3 | 9.7 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Qadisiyah goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market reference | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| Metis Forecast | 87% | 8% | 5% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.