Al-Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq — Saudi Pro League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Al-Kholood
vs
15:05
Al-Ettifaq
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al-Kholood
37%
Draw
25%
Al-Ettifaq
38%
Expected goals
1.45–1.44
Al-Kholood · Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq win 38% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.9%), 1–2 (9.0%), 2–1 (8.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Al-Kholood score at least twice in 42%; Al-Ettifaq in 42%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Ettifaq goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 11.9 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Kholood goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market reference | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Metis Forecast | 37% | 25% | 38% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.