Al-Khaleej vs Al-Hazem — Saudi Pro League forecast, Thursday, 29 October 2026
Al-Khaleej
vs
14:35
Al-Hazem
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al-Khaleej
45%
Draw
26%
Al-Hazem
28%
Expected goals
1.66–1.28
Al-Khaleej · Al-Hazem
Al-Khaleej win 45% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.3%), 2–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (7.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Al-Khaleej win is 2–1 (9.3%).
Al-Khaleej score at least twice in 49%; Al-Hazem in 36%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Hazem goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.9 | 12.3 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Khaleej goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market reference | 45% | 26% | 28% |
| Metis Forecast | 45% | 26% | 28% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.