Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ittihad FC — Saudi Pro League forecast, Friday, 20 November 2026
Al Khaleej Saihat
vs
15:00
Al-Ittihad FC
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al Khaleej Saihat
22%
Draw
22%
Al-Ittihad FC
56%
Expected goals
1.05–1.80
Al Khaleej Saihat · Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC win 56% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10.5%), 1–1 (10.4%), 0–1 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Al Khaleej Saihat score at least twice in 28%; Al-Ittihad FC in 54%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Ittihad FC goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 10.3 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 10.4 | 10.5 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al Khaleej Saihat goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 22% | 25% | 52% |
| Market reference | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Metis Forecast | 22% | 22% | 56% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.