Al-Fayha vs Al-Fateh — Saudi Pro League forecast, Friday, 20 November 2026
Al-Fayha
vs
15:00
Al-Fateh
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al-Fayha
37%
Draw
26%
Al-Fateh
36%
Expected goals
1.41–1.37
Al-Fayha · Al-Fateh
Al-Fayha win 37% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–2 (8.6%), 2–1 (8.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Al-Fayha score at least twice in 41%; Al-Fateh in 40%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Fateh goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 12.5 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Fayha goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 39% | 27% | 33% |
| Market reference | 37% | 26% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 37% | 26% | 36% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
What changed overnight?
vs previous runxG 1.45–1.32 → 1.41–1.37
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.