Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly — Saudi Pro League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Al-Fayha
vs
14:55
Al-Faisaly
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al-Fayha
34%
Draw
27%
Al-Faisaly
39%
Expected goals
1.40–1.44
Al-Fayha · Al-Faisaly
Al-Faisaly win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–2 (9.1%), 0–1 (8.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Al-Fayha score at least twice in 40%; Al-Faisaly in 43%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Faisaly goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.7 | 12.8 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Fayha goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 40% | 27% | 34% |
| Market reference | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Metis Forecast | 34% | 27% | 39% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.