Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal — Saudi Pro League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Al-Ettifaq
vs
14:30
Al-Hilal
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Al-Ettifaq
9%
Draw
12%
Al-Hilal
80%
Expected goals
0.95–2.12
Al-Ettifaq · Al-Hilal
Al-Hilal win 80% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (19.8%), 0–1 (15.4%), 0–2 (11.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 47% of outcomes; the other 53% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Al-Ettifaq score at least twice in 23%; Al-Hilal in 69%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Hilal goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 15.4 | 11.8 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 19.8 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Al-Ettifaq goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market reference | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| Metis Forecast | 9% | 12% | 80% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.