Abha Club vs Al-Ittihad — Saudi Pro League forecast, Friday, 30 October 2026
Abha Club
vs
12:30
Al-Ittihad
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Abha Club
18%
Draw
21%
Al-Ittihad
62%
Expected goals
1.16–1.87
Abha Club · Al-Ittihad
Al-Ittihad win 62% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (14.9%), 0–1 (11.6%), 1–1 (9.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Those three cover 36% of outcomes; the other 64% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Abha Club score at least twice in 31%; Al-Ittihad in 59%.
Scoreline distribution
Al-Ittihad goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 11.6 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Abha Club goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market reference | 18% | 21% | 62% |
| Metis Forecast | 18% | 21% | 62% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.