Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — Romania Liga I result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026

Romania Liga I·Friday, 18 September 2026·15:00

Uta Arad

1 – 0

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Uta AradExpected goalsSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.68 xG0.99 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 11.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Uta Arad

54%

pick · result

Draw

26%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

20%

Final score

1–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave an Uta Arad win 54.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Uta Arad win. Expected goals 1.68–0.99 against 1–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals50%1 scored
Both teams score52%no
Uta Arad clean sheet37%yes
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe clean sheet19%no
Uta Arad score 2+50%no
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 2+26%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1246
1X2 Brier score0.3172
Probability on the result54.2%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (10.7%), 2–0 (9.8%). It finished 1–0 — one of them.

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Uta Arad

18 SeptHvs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1–0W

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

18 SeptAvs Uta Arad0–1L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.