Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB — Romania Liga I result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

Romania Liga I·Saturday, 19 September 2026·17:30

Universitatea Craiova

5 – 0

FCSB

Universitatea CraiovaExpected goalsFCSB
1.79 xG0.96 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 13.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Universitatea Craiova

55%

pick · result

Draw

24%

FCSB

21%

Final score

5–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave an Universitatea Craiova win 54.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Universitatea Craiova win. Expected goals 1.79–0.96 against 5–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals52%5 scored
Both teams score51%no
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet38%yes
FCSB clean sheet18%no
Universitatea Craiova score 2+53%yes
FCSB score 2+25%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1240
1X2 Brier score0.3059
Probability on the result54.9%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–0 (10.1%), 1–0 (9.9%). It finished 5–0.

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Universitatea Craiova

19 SeptHvs FCSB5–0W

FCSB

19 SeptAvs Universitatea Craiova0–5L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.