Universitatea Craiova vs Botosani — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Universitatea Craiova
vs
15:30
Botosani
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Universitatea Craiova
69%
Draw
19%
Botosani
12%
Expected goals
2.38–0.83
Universitatea Craiova · Botosani
Universitatea Craiova win 69% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11.0%), 3–0 (9.3%), 1–1 (8.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Universitatea Craiova score at least twice in 67%; Botosani in 20%.
Scoreline distribution
Botosani goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.3 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 4.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Universitatea Craiova goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market reference | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Metis Forecast | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
What changed overnight?
vs previous runxG 2.47–0.78 → 2.38–0.83
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Recent form
Universitatea Craiova
| 19 Sept | H | vs FCSB | 5–0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.