Sepsi vs Dinamo Bucuresti — Romania Liga I forecast, Friday, 9 October 2026
Sepsi
vs
18:00
Dinamo Bucuresti
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Sepsi
21%
Draw
27%
Dinamo Bucuresti
52%
Expected goals
1.02–1.59
Sepsi · Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti win 52% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.0%), 0–1 (12.1%), 1–2 (11.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 36% of outcomes; the other 64% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Dinamo Bucuresti win is 0–1 (12.1%).
Sepsi score at least twice in 27%; Dinamo Bucuresti in 48%.
Scoreline distribution
Dinamo Bucuresti goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 12.1 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sepsi goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market reference | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| Metis Forecast | 21% | 27% | 52% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
What changed overnight?
vs previous runxG 1.03–1.57 → 1.02–1.59
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
No recent results.
Dinamo Bucuresti
| 20 Sept | H | vs Farul Constanta | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.