Rapid vs Arges Pitesti — Romania Liga I result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026

Romania Liga I·Friday, 18 September 2026·18:00

Rapid

3 – 1

Arges Pitesti

RapidExpected goalsArges Pitesti
1.56 xG0.93 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 14.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Rapid

52%

pick · result

Draw

27%

Arges Pitesti

21%

Final score

3–1

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Rapid win 52.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rapid win. Expected goals 1.56–0.93 against 3–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals45%4 scored
Both teams score49%yes
Rapid clean sheet40%no
Arges Pitesti clean sheet21%no
Rapid score 2+46%yes
Arges Pitesti score 2+24%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1355
1X2 Brier score0.3457
Probability on the result52.1%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.0%), 1–0 (12.0%), 2–0 (10.1%). It finished 3–1.

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Rapid

18 SeptHvs Arges Pitesti3–1W

Arges Pitesti

18 SeptAvs Rapid1–3L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.