Otelul Galati vs Sepsi — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Otelul Galati
vs
13:00
Sepsi
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Otelul Galati
42%
Draw
28%
Sepsi
31%
Expected goals
1.43–1.16
Otelul Galati · Sepsi
Otelul Galati win 42% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.3%), 1–0 (9.3%), 2–1 (8.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Otelul Galati score at least twice in 42%; Sepsi in 33%.
Scoreline distribution
Sepsi goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 13.3 | 7.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Otelul Galati goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market reference | 42% | 28% | 31% |
| Metis Forecast | 42% | 28% | 31% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.