FCSB vs Otelul Galati — Romania Liga I forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
FCSB
vs
18:30
Otelul Galati
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
FCSB
63%
Draw
21%
Otelul Galati
16%
Expected goals
1.87–0.94
FCSB · Otelul Galati
FCSB win 63% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12.3%), 2–1 (12.1%), 2–0 (11.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 36% of outcomes; the other 64% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
FCSB score at least twice in 57%; Otelul Galati in 24%.
Scoreline distribution
Otelul Galati goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.4 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.1 | 12.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: FCSB goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 49% | 26% | 24% |
| Market reference | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Metis Forecast | 63% | 21% | 16% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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FCSB
| 19 Sept | A | vs Universitatea Craiova | 0–5 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.