FC Botosani vs Oţelul — Romania Liga I forecast, Monday, 9 November 2026
FC Botosani
vs
18:00
Oţelul
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
FC Botosani
46%
Draw
26%
Oţelul
28%
Expected goals
1.55–1.11
FC Botosani · Oţelul
FC Botosani win 46% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.6%), 1–0 (9.4%), 2–1 (8.7%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely FC Botosani win is 1–0 (9.4%).
FC Botosani score at least twice in 45%; Oţelul in 31%.
Scoreline distribution
Oţelul goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 12.6 | 7.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.4 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: FC Botosani goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 51% | 26% | 22% |
| Market reference | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Metis Forecast | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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FC Botosani
| 19 Sept | A | vs CFR 1907 Cluj | 1–3 | L |
Oţelul
| 21 Sept | H | vs Corvinul Hunedoara | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.