Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Cluj — Romania Liga I forecast, Friday, 20 November 2026
Farul Constanta
vs
18:30
Universitatea Cluj
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Farul Constanta
33%
Draw
26%
Universitatea Cluj
41%
Expected goals
1.21–1.42
Farul Constanta · Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj win 41% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.2%), 0–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (8.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Farul Constanta score at least twice in 34%; Universitatea Cluj in 41%.
Scoreline distribution
Universitatea Cluj goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 12.2 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Farul Constanta goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market reference | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Metis Forecast | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Farul Constanta
| 20 Sept | A | vs Dinamo Bucuresti | 0–4 | L |
Universitatea Cluj
| 20 Sept | A | vs FC Voluntari | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.