Farul Constanta vs Rapid Bucuresti — Romania Liga I forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Farul Constanta
vs
15:30
Rapid Bucuresti
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Farul Constanta
28%
Draw
28%
Rapid Bucuresti
44%
Expected goals
1.34–1.50
Farul Constanta · Rapid Bucuresti
Rapid Bucuresti win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.1%), 1–2 (11.4%), 0–1 (9.7%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Rapid Bucuresti win is 1–2 (11.4%).
Farul Constanta score at least twice in 37%; Rapid Bucuresti in 46%.
Scoreline distribution
Rapid Bucuresti goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 9.6 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 13.1 | 11.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Farul Constanta goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market reference | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Metis Forecast | 28% | 28% | 44% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Farul Constanta
| 20 Sept | A | vs Dinamo Bucuresti | 0–4 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.