Farul Constanta vs Rapid — Romania Liga I forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Farul Constanta
vs
15:30
Rapid
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Farul Constanta
28%
Draw
28%
Rapid
44%
Expected goals
1.23–1.51
Farul Constanta · Rapid
Rapid win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.2%), 1–2 (10.0%), 0–1 (9.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Rapid win is 1–2 (10.0%).
Farul Constanta score at least twice in 34%; Rapid in 45%.
Scoreline distribution
Rapid goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 13.2 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Farul Constanta goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market reference | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Metis Forecast | 28% | 28% | 44% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Farul Constanta
| 20 Sept | A | vs Dinamo Bucuresti | 0–4 | L |
Rapid
| 18 Sept | H | vs Arges Pitesti | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.