Farul Constanta vs Otelul Galati — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Farul Constanta
vs
14:00
Otelul Galati
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Farul Constanta
53%
Draw
25%
Otelul Galati
22%
Expected goals
1.66–1.01
Farul Constanta · Otelul Galati
Farul Constanta win 53% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (11.3%), 2–1 (10.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Farul Constanta win is 1–0 (11.3%).
Farul Constanta score at least twice in 50%; Otelul Galati in 27%.
Scoreline distribution
Otelul Galati goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Farul Constanta goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market reference | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Metis Forecast | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Farul Constanta
| 20 Sept | A | vs Dinamo Bucuresti | 0–4 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.