Dinamo Bucuresti vs UTA Arad — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Dinamo Bucuresti
vs
18:30
UTA Arad
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Dinamo Bucuresti
57%
Draw
24%
UTA Arad
19%
Expected goals
2.02–0.93
Dinamo Bucuresti · UTA Arad
Dinamo Bucuresti win 57% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.2%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–0 (8.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Dinamo Bucuresti win is 2–0 (9.9%).
Dinamo Bucuresti score at least twice in 57%; UTA Arad in 24%.
Scoreline distribution
UTA Arad goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.6 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Dinamo Bucuresti goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Market reference | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Metis Forecast | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Dinamo Bucuresti
| 20 Sept | H | vs Farul Constanta | 4–0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.