Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Csikszereda
vs
15:00
Universitatea Craiova
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Csikszereda
10%
Draw
18%
Universitatea Craiova
72%
Expected goals
0.70–2.21
Csikszereda · Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova win 72% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–2 (13.5%), 0–1 (11.6%), 0–3 (9.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 45% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Csikszereda score at least twice in 16%; Universitatea Craiova in 65%.
Scoreline distribution
Universitatea Craiova goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 11.6 | 13.5 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 3.6 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 2 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Csikszereda goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 10% | 19% | 71% |
| Market reference | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Metis Forecast | 10% | 18% | 72% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Csikszereda
| 21 Sept | A | vs Petrolul Ploiesti | 0–2 | L |
Universitatea Craiova
| 19 Sept | H | vs FCSB | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.