Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti — Romania Liga I forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Corvinul Hunedoara
vs
14:00
Arges Pitesti
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Draw
30%
Arges Pitesti
26%
Expected goals
1.32–0.97
Corvinul Hunedoara · Arges Pitesti
Corvinul Hunedoara win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14.1%), 1–0 (12.8%), 0–0 (11.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 47% of simulations.
Those three cover 38% of outcomes; the other 62% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Corvinul Hunedoara win is 1–0 (12.8%).
Corvinul Hunedoara score at least twice in 38%; Arges Pitesti in 25%.
Scoreline distribution
Arges Pitesti goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Corvinul Hunedoara goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market reference | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Metis Forecast | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Corvinul Hunedoara
| 21 Sept | A | vs Oţelul | 3–2 | W |
Arges Pitesti
| 18 Sept | A | vs Rapid | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.