CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
CFR Cluj
vs
17:00
Universitatea Craiova
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
CFR Cluj
20%
Draw
24%
Universitatea Craiova
56%
Expected goals
0.98–1.71
CFR Cluj · Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova win 56% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11.7%), 1–1 (11.5%), 1–2 (10.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
CFR Cluj score at least twice in 26%; Universitatea Craiova in 52%.
Scoreline distribution
Universitatea Craiova goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: CFR Cluj goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Market reference | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| Metis Forecast | 20% | 24% | 56% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Universitatea Craiova
| 19 Sept | H | vs FCSB | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.