CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj — Romania Liga I forecast, Thursday, 8 October 2026
CFR Cluj
vs
17:30
Universitatea Cluj
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
CFR Cluj
39%
Draw
27%
Universitatea Cluj
34%
Expected goals
1.36–1.24
CFR Cluj · Universitatea Cluj
CFR Cluj win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.0%), 1–0 (9.4%), 2–1 (8.7%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
CFR Cluj score at least twice in 39%; Universitatea Cluj in 35%.
Scoreline distribution
Universitatea Cluj goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 13.0 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: CFR Cluj goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market reference | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Metis Forecast | 39% | 27% | 34% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Universitatea Cluj
| 20 Sept | A | vs FC Voluntari | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.