CFR Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026

Romania Liga I·Sunday, 25 October 2026·17:00

CFR Cluj

vs

17:00

Dinamo Bucuresti

CFR ClujExpected goalsDinamo Bucuresti
1.03 xG1.61 xG

Metis Forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Model updated

CFR Cluj

22%

Draw

25%

Dinamo Bucuresti

53%

Expected goals

1.03–1.61

CFR Cluj · Dinamo Bucuresti

Dinamo Bucuresti win 53% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12.1%), 1–1 (12.0%), 1–2 (11.2%).More forecast detail +

Both teams score in 53% of simulations.

Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.

CFR Cluj score at least twice in 27%; Dinamo Bucuresti in 49%.

Scoreline distribution

Match outcomes

Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Team scoring & clean sheets
CFR Cluj clean sheet19%
Dinamo Bucuresti clean sheet36%
CFR Cluj score 2+27%
Dinamo Bucuresti score 2+49%
CFR Cluj score 3+9%
Dinamo Bucuresti score 3+21%

Model vs market

SourceHomeDrawAway
Raw Metis model30%28%42%
Market reference22%25%53%
Metis Forecast22%25%53%

Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .

The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.

Most likely scores

0–112.1%
1–112.0%
1–211.2%
0–29.5%
0–07.5%
1–05.6%

What changed overnight?

vs previous run
CFR Cluj win30% → 22% ▼-8.2pp
Draw28% → 25% ▼-2.9pp
Dinamo Bucuresti win42% → 53% ▲+11.0pp

xG 1.18–1.43 → 1.03–1.61

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

No recent results.

Dinamo Bucuresti

20 SeptHvs Farul Constanta4–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.