CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova — Romania Liga I forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
CFR 1907 Cluj
vs
17:00
Universitatea Craiova
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
CFR 1907 Cluj
19%
Draw
23%
Universitatea Craiova
57%
Expected goals
0.98–1.65
CFR 1907 Cluj · Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova win 57% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13.8%), 1–2 (12.7%), 1–1 (11.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 38% of outcomes; the other 62% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
CFR 1907 Cluj score at least twice in 25%; Universitatea Craiova in 51%.
Scoreline distribution
Universitatea Craiova goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 13.8 | 10.3 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 11.0 | 12.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: CFR 1907 Cluj goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market reference | 19% | 23% | 57% |
| Metis Forecast | 19% | 23% | 57% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
What changed overnight?
vs previous runxG 1.23–1.34 → 0.98–1.65
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CFR 1907 Cluj
| 19 Sept | H | vs FC Botosani | 3–1 | W |
Universitatea Craiova
| 19 Sept | H | vs FCSB | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.