CFR 1907 Cluj vs Oţelul — Romania Liga I forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
CFR 1907 Cluj
vs
15:30
Oţelul
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
CFR 1907 Cluj
43%
Draw
27%
Oţelul
30%
Expected goals
1.50–1.10
CFR 1907 Cluj · Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj win 43% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.0%), 0–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely CFR 1907 Cluj win is 1–0 (8.6%).
CFR 1907 Cluj score at least twice in 43%; Oţelul in 31%.
Scoreline distribution
Oţelul goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 13.0 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: CFR 1907 Cluj goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Market reference | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Metis Forecast | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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CFR 1907 Cluj
| 19 Sept | H | vs FC Botosani | 3–1 | W |
Oţelul
| 21 Sept | H | vs Corvinul Hunedoara | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.