Botosani vs Otelul Galati — Romania Liga I forecast, Monday, 9 November 2026
Botosani
vs
18:00
Otelul Galati
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Botosani
46%
Draw
26%
Otelul Galati
28%
Expected goals
1.53–1.12
Botosani · Otelul Galati
Botosani win 46% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.6%), 1–0 (9.7%), 2–1 (9.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Botosani win is 1–0 (9.7%).
Botosani score at least twice in 45%; Otelul Galati in 31%.
Scoreline distribution
Otelul Galati goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 12.6 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Botosani goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market reference | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Metis Forecast | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.