Arges Pitesti vs UTA Arad — Romania Liga I forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Arges Pitesti
vs
15:00
UTA Arad
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Arges Pitesti
37%
Draw
30%
UTA Arad
33%
Expected goals
1.28–1.12
Arges Pitesti · UTA Arad
Arges Pitesti win 37% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14.2%), 0–1 (10.3%), 0–0 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Arges Pitesti score at least twice in 36%; UTA Arad in 31%.
Scoreline distribution
UTA Arad goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 14.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Arges Pitesti goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 47% | 29% | 25% |
| Market reference | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Metis Forecast | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
Arges Pitesti
| 18 Sept | A | vs Rapid | 1–3 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.