Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti — Romania Liga I forecast, Friday, 6 November 2026
Arges Pitesti
vs
18:30
Dinamo Bucuresti
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Arges Pitesti
20%
Draw
26%
Dinamo Bucuresti
54%
Expected goals
0.90–1.58
Arges Pitesti · Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti win 54% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13.0%), 1–1 (12.4%), 0–2 (10.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Those three cover 36% of outcomes; the other 64% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Arges Pitesti score at least twice in 23%; Dinamo Bucuresti in 47%.
Scoreline distribution
Dinamo Bucuresti goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 12.4 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Arges Pitesti goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 23% | 28% | 49% |
| Market reference | 20% | 26% | 54% |
| Metis Forecast | 20% | 26% | 54% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Arges Pitesti
| 18 Sept | A | vs Rapid | 1–3 | L |
Dinamo Bucuresti
| 20 Sept | H | vs Farul Constanta | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.