Arges Pitesti vs CFR Cluj — Romania Liga I forecast, Monday, 12 October 2026
Arges Pitesti
vs
15:00
CFR Cluj
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Arges Pitesti
34%
Draw
30%
CFR Cluj
36%
Expected goals
1.19–1.17
Arges Pitesti · CFR Cluj
CFR Cluj win 36% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14.3%), 0–1 (10.9%), 0–0 (10.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Those three cover 36% of outcomes; the other 64% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Arges Pitesti score at least twice in 33%; CFR Cluj in 33%.
Scoreline distribution
CFR Cluj goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6 | 10.9 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 14.3 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.6 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Arges Pitesti goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 42% | 30% | 29% |
| Market reference | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 34% | 30% | 36% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
Arges Pitesti
| 18 Sept | A | vs Rapid | 1–3 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.