Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora — Primeira Liga forecast, Saturday, 28 November 2026
Primeira Liga·Saturday, 28 November 2026·20:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Vitoria Guimaraes | 1.72 |
| Draw | 3.87 |
| Estrela Amadora | 4.74 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 15 Nov · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Vitoria Guimaraes
| 8 Aug | H | vs Arouca | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Sporting | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Nacional | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Braga | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Casa Pia | 0–0 | D |
Estrela Amadora
| 8 Aug | H | vs Sporting | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Alverca | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Nacional | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Famalicao | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Sept | H | vs Braga | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Vitoria Guimaraes (Home · 6 matches) | Estrela Amadora (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Vitoria Guimaraes's home record; away stats use Estrela Amadora's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.