Sporting vs Alverca — Primeira Liga forecast, Saturday, 22 August 2026
Primeira Liga·Saturday, 22 August 2026
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Sporting
| 8 Aug | A | vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Alverca | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Rio Ave | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Nacional | 2–0 | W |
Alverca
| 9 Aug | A | vs Porto | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Sporting | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Santa Clara | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Braga | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sporting (Home · 4 matches) | Alverca (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.75 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Sporting's home record; away stats use Alverca's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.