Rio Ave vs Nacional — Primeira Liga forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Primeira Liga·Sunday, 11 October 2026·14:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 2.25 |
| Draw | 3.25 |
| Nacional | 3.36 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Rio Ave
| 9 Aug | A | vs Gil Vicente | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Porto | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Estoril | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Sporting | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Santa Clara | 0–4 | L |
Nacional
| 10 Aug | A | vs Santa Clara | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Estoril | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Estrela Amadora | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Sporting | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Rio Ave (Home · 3 matches) | Nacional (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 2.33 |
Home stats use Rio Ave's home record; away stats use Nacional's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.