Porto vs Arouca — Primeira Liga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 23 August 2026
Primeira Liga·Sunday, 23 August 2026
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Porto
| 9 Aug | H | vs Alverca | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Rio Ave | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Arouca | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Academico Viseu | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Moreirense | 2–1 | W |
Arouca
| 8 Aug | A | vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Moreirense | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Porto | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Maritimo | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Estoril | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Porto (Home · 5 matches) | Arouca (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 1.60 |
Home stats use Porto's home record; away stats use Arouca's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.