Moreirense vs Gil Vicente — Primeira Liga forecast, Friday, 9 October 2026
Primeira Liga·Friday, 9 October 2026·17:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Moreirense | 3.85 |
| Draw | 3.16 |
| Gil Vicente | 2.11 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Sep · 03:46 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Moreirense
| 9 Aug | H | vs Braga | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Arouca | 0–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Casa Pia | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Porto | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Sept | H | vs Benfica | 0–4 | L |
Gil Vicente
| 9 Aug | H | vs Rio Ave | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Casa Pia | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Famalicao | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Academico Viseu | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Benfica | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Moreirense (Home · 3 matches) | Gil Vicente (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Moreirense's home record; away stats use Gil Vicente's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.