Famalicao vs Alverca — Primeira Liga forecast, Monday, 12 October 2026
Primeira Liga·Monday, 12 October 2026·19:15
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Famalicao | 1.82 |
| Draw | 3.29 |
| Alverca | 5.02 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 29 Sep · 04:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Famalicao
| 7 Aug | A | vs Estoril | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Maritimo | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Santa Clara | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Gil Vicente | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 | D |
Alverca
| 9 Aug | A | vs Porto | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Sporting | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Santa Clara | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Braga | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Famalicao (Home · 3 matches) | Alverca (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.67 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Famalicao's home record; away stats use Alverca's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.