Estrela Amadora vs Benfica — Primeira Liga forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Primeira Liga·Sunday, 8 November 2026·20:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora | 10.28 |
| Draw | 6.54 |
| Benfica | 1.25 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 03 Nov · 04:29 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Estrela Amadora
| 8 Aug | H | vs Sporting | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Alverca | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Nacional | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Famalicao | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Sept | H | vs Braga | 2–1 | W |
Benfica
| 9 Aug | H | vs Academico Viseu | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | vs Casa Pia | 7–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Estoril | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Maritimo | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Sept | A | vs Moreirense | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Estrela Amadora (Home · 5 matches) | Benfica (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 60.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 4.20 |
Home stats use Estrela Amadora's home record; away stats use Benfica's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.