Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes — Primeira Liga forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Primeira Liga·Sunday, 11 October 2026·17:00
Market odds
| Market | over | under | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | |||
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Benfica
| 9 Aug | H | vs Academico Viseu | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | vs Casa Pia | 7–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Estoril | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Maritimo | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Sept | A | vs Moreirense | 4–0 | W |
Vitoria Guimaraes
| 8 Aug | H | vs Arouca | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Sporting | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Nacional | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Braga | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Casa Pia | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Benfica (Home · 3 matches) | Vitoria Guimaraes (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.67 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Benfica's home record; away stats use Vitoria Guimaraes's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.