Arouca vs Estrela Amadora — Primeira Liga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026

Primeira Liga·Sunday, 11 October 2026

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

Arouca

8 AugAvs Vitoria Guimaraes1–0W
16 AugHvs Moreirense4–0W
23 AugAvs Porto0–2L
29 AugHvs Maritimo2–1W
7 SeptAvs Estoril0–0D

Estrela Amadora

8 AugHvs Sporting2–2D
15 AugAvs Alverca2–2D
30 AugAvs Nacional3–2W
5 SeptHvs Famalicao2–2D
10 SeptHvs Braga2–1W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatArouca
(Home · 5 matches)
Estrela Amadora
(Away · 5 matches)
BTTS rate40.0%80.0%
Over 2.5 rate60.0%80.0%
Clean sheet60.0%0.0%
Avg goals2.403.80

Home stats use Arouca's home record; away stats use Estrela Amadora's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.