Alverca vs Casa Pia — Primeira Liga forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Primeira Liga·Saturday, 7 November 2026·18:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Alverca | 1.72 |
| Draw | 3.77 |
| Casa Pia | 4.89 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 03 Nov · 04:29 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Alverca
| 9 Aug | A | vs Porto | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Sporting | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Santa Clara | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Braga | 1–2 | L |
Casa Pia
| 8 Aug | A | vs Maritimo | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Benfica | 0–7 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Gil Vicente | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Moreirense | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Alverca (Home · 5 matches) | Casa Pia (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 20.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.20 | 1.60 |
Home stats use Alverca's home record; away stats use Casa Pia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.