Brighton vs Aston Villa — Premier League forecast, Sunday, 23 August 2026
Premier League·Sunday, 23 August 2026
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Brighton
| 23 Aug | H | vs Aston Villa | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Chelsea | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Leeds | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Coventry | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Arsenal | 3–0 | W |
Aston Villa
| 23 Aug | A | vs Brighton | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Arsenal | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Hull | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Nottm Forest | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Tottenham | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Brighton (Home · 3 matches) | Aston Villa (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Brighton's home record; away stats use Aston Villa's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.