Arsenal vs Leeds — Premier League forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
Premier League·Saturday, 10 October 2026·11:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.38 |
| Draw | 4.93 |
| Leeds | 7.65 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Fantasy impact · GW6
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Arsenal
| 21 Aug | H | vs Coventry | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Aston Villa | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Chelsea | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Sunderland | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Brighton | 0–3 | L |
Leeds
| 22 Aug | A | vs Nottm Forest | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brentford | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Brighton | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Newcastle | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Crystal Palace | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Arsenal (Home · 2 matches) | Leeds (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 1.50 |
Home stats use Arsenal's home record; away stats use Leeds's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.