🇳🇴 Eliteserien·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00

WDWWL

15:00

2nd vs —

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Viking	1.28	1.28
Draw	6.67	6.67
Aalesunds	7.59	7.59

Metis Forecast

model + market

Viking

75%

Draw

13%

Aalesunds

11%

Viking 2.65 xGexpected goals0.98 xG Aalesunds

Viking win 75% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 59% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10.3%).

Viking score at least twice in 75%; Aalesunds in 26%.

2–1 10.3%2–0 9.9%3–1 8.6%3–0 8.3%1–0 7.2%1–1 5.9%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	2.5	2.1	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0
1	7.2	5.9	3.4	1.2	0.3	0.1
2	9.9	10.3	3.6	1.5	0.4	0.1
3	8.3	8.6	4.5	1.0	0.3	0.1
4	5.2	5.4	2.8	1.0	0.2	0.1
5+	4.3	4.5	2.3	0.8	0.2	0.0

rows = Viking goals · columns = Aalesunds goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score59%

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Over 4.5 goals30%

Viking clean sheet37%

Aalesunds clean sheet7%

Viking score 2+75%

Aalesunds score 2+26%

Viking score 3+50%

Model vs market

Source	Viking	Draw	Aalesunds
Raw Metis model	71%	18%	11%
Market (de-vigged)	75%	13%	11%
Metis Forecast	75%	13%	11%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

Viking

14 Mar	A	vs HamKam	1–2	L
21 Mar	H	vs Molde	4–1	W
6 Apr	A	vs Valerenga	1–0	W
11 Apr	H	vs Bodo/Glimt	5–0	W
18 Apr	H	vs Brann	3–2	W

No recent results.

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Viking (Home)	Aalesunds (Away)
BTTS rate	71.4%	—
Over 2.5 rate	100.0%	—
Clean sheet	28.6%	—
Avg goals	4.71	—

Home stats use Viking's home record; away stats use Aalesunds's away record this season.

Viking →Aalesunds →🇳🇴 Eliteserien standings & fixtures