Nancy vs Reims — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 11 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 14.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Nancy
30%
Draw
28%
Reims
42%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Reims win 41.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Reims win. Expected goals 1.06–1.39 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.4%), 0–1 (10.0%), 0–0 (9.6%). It finished 1–2.
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Nancy
| 8 Aug | A | vs Boulogne | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Montpellier | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Pau FC | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Dunkerque | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Nantes | 0–1 | L |
Reims
| 8 Aug | A | vs Clermont | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Dunkerque | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Annecy | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Red Star | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Guingamp | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Nancy (Home · 5 matches) | Reims (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 20.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.60 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Nancy's home record; away stats use Reims's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.